Date: 26 Oct 98 02:59:08 From: "Gilles Armstrong" <email@example.com> References: 1 Followups: 1
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Joseph, Although your maths are no doubt right, there are a few other points you do not mention: part of the point of the A3XX is to be able to offer a full family of aircraft, so as to offer complete "solutions" to airlines, thus saving on retraining etc... The extra aircraft sold will reduce the strict amount of A3XX to be sold to break even (significant knock-on effect). People like BA buy aircraft with families in mind, and it would be surprising if their recent purchase had nothing to do with a future acquisition of A3XXs. Also, the slump in orders that is happening, and will no doubt last a while, will definitely not be long enough to worry development of the aircraft. More than likely, things will be picking up again when/if the aircraft is released. Think of it as counter-cyclical investment. (by luck if not by design) I agree that they won't scrap it, but also I think they will go ahead at "European Speed" for a while, before going for it fully (probably as signs of the crisis wane). Gilles Armstrong.