Re: Probability of Two Engines Failing

Date:         19 Aug 98 00:57:48 
From:         erisajd@NOSPAM.erols.com (Joseph David Farrell)
Organization: Benefits Litigation Concepts
References:   1
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>The question we asked in QANTAS was:
>
>WHAT IF THE SECOND ENGINE FAILED FIRST ?

A corrollary to  [Joe's ETOPS corrollary] Murphys Law states:

The probability of a second engine failing is the cube of the
probability of the first engine failing.

Or, more to the point, once you lose one, it more likely that you will
lose another.

JDF