Re: A340-500X/600X and B777-200X/300X [long]

Date:         16 Apr 97 01:55:56 
From:         Chuanga@cris.com (H Andrew Chuang)
Organization: Concentric Internet Services
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In article <airliners.1997.930@ohare.Chicago.COM>,
Alan Wong  <Alan.Wong@anu.edu.au> wrote:
>H Andrew Chuang wrote:

[snip]

>Older 747s tend to be dedicated regional aircraft in Asia and these are often
>configured as such. These are the planes that airlines such as Cathay and
>Singapore are replacing with 777s.

The B777-200s CX has received are for L-1011 replacement.  In 1998, it
will start receiving B777-300s to replace some of its B747-200s.  For
SQ, the B777-200 are for A310 replacement (which I don't think make too
much sense on many of SQ's routes).

[snip]
>
>> I can't really see how the A340-500X/600X can be a successful program.
>> Perhaps that's why GE was not interested in the exclusive engine deal.
>> The B777-200X/A340-500X market is probably not that big.  Thus, my guess
>> is that Airbus would have to rely more on the -600X sales than the -500X.
>> However, I doubt the A340-600X has enough technical and financial merits
>> to set itself apart from the, albeit 30-year old, B747.  Well, with the
>> A340-600, Lufthansa will be a step closer to having an all-Airbus
>> fleet.  ;-)
>
>I too don't think A340-500X/600X will be launched.

I did not say the A340-500X/600X would not be launched.  I only speculated
that it would not be successful.  In fact, in my original post, I
speculated that Cathay Pacific could be one of the launch customers for
the A340-500X.  I can't see Airbus not launching the A340-500X/600X.
Nevertheless, I just don't think it will be too successful.