From: Andrew Goldfinger <Andy.Goldfinger@jhuapl.edu> Organization: apl Date: 12 Oct 96 02:31:25 Followups: 1
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I know that extensive statistical studies have been done showing that the incidence of fatal accidents aboard commercial aircraft is quite low -- of the order of magnitude 1.0E-6 per passenger-flight. However, I have never seen any statistics on the incidence of STHOOTP events. I am referring, of course, to "Scare The Heck Out Of The Passengers" incidents, that is, events that cause normal persons (excluding me -- a nervous flyer) to become frightened. Now, I have taken about 500 commercial flights in my life time. I have experienced one aborted take off, and two episodes of scary (to me) turbulence. This small sample indicates an incidence of about 0.6% per passenger-flight. Dose any one have a feel for the true incidence rate? Can we sci.aeronautics.airliners readers conduct an informal study? If you would like to participate, please send me (via e-mail to Andy.Goldfinger@jhuapl.edu) an estimate of the number of flights you have taken in your lifetime, and a count of STHOOTP incidents, with a short description of each. I will combine the results, and report them to the news group.