Re: A3XX vs B747-600 (was: Airbus lawsuit coming?)

From:         Chuanga@cris.com (H Andrew Chuang)
Organization: Concentric Internet Services
Date:         03 Sep 96 01:16:51 
References:   1 2 3 4
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In article <airliners.1996.1696@ohare.Chicago.COM>, M Carling <m@ml.com> wrote:
>Chuanga@cris.com (H Andrew Chuang) wrote:
>>      Will Boeing also launch the B757-200X and/or -300X at Farnborough?
>
>It is my understanding that only charters are interested in a B757-300X, and
>that not enough would be ordered to justify the required R&D.

The B757-300X is very likely to be launched.  It should be a cheap
derivative.

>
>>      Last year, airlines seemed to be very interested in the B777-100X.
>>      Now, it seems airlines are not too keen on this plane.
>
>BA and Qantas would love to fly SYD-LHR nonstop, and the B747-500X appears to
>have insufficient range to do so with a full payload. Perhaps a 777-100X
>could be built to fly the 10500mi between Sydney and London.

I think the 777-100X will not be able to fly between SYD and LHR non-stop,
at least not year-round.

>
>>      Even Airbus
>>      can no longer keep Air Canada interested in the A340-8000.  Thus, I
>>      think the B777-100X and the A340-8000 are unlikely to take off any
>>      time soon.  Nevertheless, Boeing may need either the B777-100X and/
>>      or the B767-400X to fill the gap between the B767-300 and the
>>      B777-200.
>
>Boeing decided to build the B777 because airlines rejected every Boeing
>proposal for a B767-400X. If Boeing builds a plane larger than the B767-300
>and smaller than the B777-200, it will be the B777-100X.
>

IMHO, Boeing needs a plane to compete with the A330-200.  The B777-100X may
be acceptable for long-range operation.  However, on short-to-medium haul, I
doubt it can be as cost effective as the A330-200 (although, a B777-100X
Lite had been mentioned before).

>>       Is the ultra-long-range B777-200X imminent?
>
>A B777-200X with greater range than the B777-200IGW any time soon? I doubt
>it.
>

By 2000, it's definitely possible.  Furthermore, both competitors are
proposing new models (the A340-500 and the MD-XXLR) to compete in the
same market segment.  The B777-200X should be the first to go into service,
if it's launched.